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Red0
31950.2
19720.4
10700.9
Blue2
17172.0
30210.8
23390.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1070
#19
0.90.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1717
#15
2.00.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1972
#21
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3021
#23
0.80.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3195
#36
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2339
#38
0.40.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End