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Red5
11380.8
6871.9
12661.3
Blue3
25431.8
20291.3
8461.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
1.90.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2029
#20
1.30.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1138
#13
0.80.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
846
#31
1.00.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End