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Red1
10700.9
30210.8
32260.7
Blue0
19720.4
2941.3
31280.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110234567810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1070
#19
0.90.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
294
#33
1.30.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3021
#23
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1972
#21
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3226
#16
0.70.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3128
#45
0.00.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End