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Red1
24930.2
29840.5
6910.7
Blue0
30410.4
13320.9
11380.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#11
0.70.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
0.90.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2984
#40
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1138
#13
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2493
#32
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3041
#28
0.40.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End