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Red3
19720.4
30410.4
13882.0
Blue1
8461.0
1920.9
31280.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#18
2.00.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
846
#31
1.00.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1972
#21
0.40.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
192
#26
0.90.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3041
#28
0.40.1
-0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3128
#45
0.00.1
-0.1-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End