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Red1
1001.9
29840.5
30410.4
Blue0
3570.4
5680.6
24370.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#5
1.90.1
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2437
#12
0.80.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2984
#40
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
568
#29
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3041
#28
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
357
#27
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End