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Red2
1920.9
8120.7
21930.4
Blue0
13320.9
3570.4
11600.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#26
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
0.90.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
812
#7
0.70.0
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1160
#35
0.50.2
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2193
#41
0.40.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
357
#27
0.40.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End