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Red0
24370.8
28270.4
6960.0
Blue5
33410.4
32260.7
13882.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681005

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2437
#12
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1388
#18
2.00.2
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2827
#37
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3226
#16
0.70.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
696
#46
0.00.1
0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3341
#43
0.40.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End