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Red3
6871.9
28390.7
12661.3
Blue4
3591.9
2941.3
1001.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4502681012141634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
1.90.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
359
#4
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
100
#5
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2839
#24
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
294
#33
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End