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Red7
6750.7
1002.7
18682.2
Blue5
32560.9
6701.3
13511.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5302468101275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#7
2.70.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
670
#8
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.20.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1351
#23
1.10.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
675
#30
0.70.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3256
#21
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End