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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23012345603

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#43
1.00.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1834
#33
1.00.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
668
#16
0.80.1
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2473
#35
0.90.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
581
#34
0.50.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
649
#37
0.80.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End