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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201234567813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#46
0.50.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1323
#43
1.00.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
766
#50
0.40.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
295
#39
0.90.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1072
#47
0.30.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2367
#40
0.50.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End