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Red1
22760.5
2969-0.1
27370.4
Blue0
29520.6
29910.6
30280.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12023456710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2276
#46
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2991
#48
0.60.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2737
#26
0.40.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3028
#40
0.60.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2969
#60
-0.10.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2952
#41
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End