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Red3
9220.6
28811.4
4340.8
Blue1
26130.2
29820.3
30350.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#13
1.40.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3035
#47
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
434
#14
0.80.1
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2982
#61
0.30.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
922
#38
0.60.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2613
#50
0.20.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End