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Red0
30120.7
30280.6
30800.1
Blue1
30160.2
27870.2
29790.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12023456701

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3012
#28
0.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2979
#23
0.80.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3028
#40
0.60.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3016
#37
0.20.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3080
#42
0.10.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2787
#51
0.20.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End