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Red1
30350.7
29340.2
25871.6
Blue0
22760.5
33770.0
33630.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#20
1.60.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2276
#46
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3035
#47
0.70.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3363
#36
0.40.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2934
#27
0.20.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3377
#63
0.00.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End