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Red0
29560.7
2969-0.1
30290.5
Blue1
28811.4
2789-0.3
18980.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11023456701

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2956
#45
0.70.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2881
#13
1.40.0
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3029
#24
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1898
#49
0.20.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2969
#60
-0.10.1
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2789
#64
-0.30.0
-0.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End