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Red1
25871.6
27870.2
34170.2
Blue2
29520.6
24681.1
33050.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2103456712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#20
1.60.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2468
#16
1.10.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3417
#62
0.20.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3305
#17
0.70.3
0.70.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2787
#51
0.20.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2952
#41
0.60.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End