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Qual 752010 Lone Star Regional
Red1
34170.2
31030.9
6470.8
Blue3
25820.3
14771.6
28820.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3103
#31
0.90.1
0.8→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
1477
#9
1.60.0
1.7→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
647
#59
0.80.0
0.8→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
2582
#43
0.30.1
0.4→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3417
#62
0.20.1
0.3→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
2882
#56
0.10.1
0.1→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—