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Red5
30280.6
1484.8
14800.6
Blue2
6470.8
14771.6
18980.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6204810121452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
4.80.0
4.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1.60.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3028
#40
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
647
#59
0.80.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1480
#12
0.60.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1898
#49
0.20.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End