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Red0
29520.6
12550.5
26130.2
Blue1
27210.7
20720.3
29790.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456701

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2952
#41
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2979
#23
0.80.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1255
#33
0.50.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2721
#11
0.70.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2613
#50
0.20.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2072
#52
0.30.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End