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Red2
14840.1
21580.8
27370.4
Blue5
33450.4
28811.4
27210.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204681025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#15
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2881
#13
1.40.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2737
#26
0.40.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2721
#11
0.70.3
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1484
#21
0.10.1
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3345
#34
0.40.3
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End