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Red6
32300.9
24840.9
32510.6
Blue5
15660.9
15691.2
32890.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23013456765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
0.90.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1569
#22
1.20.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3230
#15
0.90.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3251
#12
0.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3289
#16
0.70.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End