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Red3
21221.1
34050.3
16962.1
Blue2
22261.3
5850.7
30061.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33124532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2226
#10
1.30.0
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1.10.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3405
#26
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
585
#25
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End