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Red4
29930.9
31910.5
32161.2
Blue5
33740.9
18910.9
11581.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1.40.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2993
#11
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3374
#27
0.90.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3191
#17
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1891
#20
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End