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Red2
32430.4
30061.1
11581.4
Blue0
22261.3
18910.9
16950.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23012345620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.40.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2226
#10
1.30.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1891
#20
0.90.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3243
#31
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1695
#14
0.50.2
0.2-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End