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Red2
16950.5
15660.9
32070.5
Blue1
3225-0.2
33260.7
18910.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
0.90.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1891
#20
0.90.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3207
#18
0.50.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3326
#30
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1695
#14
0.50.1
-0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3225
#24
-0.20.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End