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Red2
16950.5
11581.4
32390.8
Blue1
32410.3
25940.5
29930.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046810121421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.40.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2993
#11
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3239
#13
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2594
#19
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1695
#14
0.50.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3241
#29
0.30.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End