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Red2
25940.5
30061.1
32880.2
Blue5
32161.2
15660.9
11581.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1.40.2
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2594
#19
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.20.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3288
#23
0.20.0
0.00.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
0.90.2
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End