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Red5
32890.7
25940.5
32161.2
Blue3
32430.4
24840.9
15691.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130124567853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.2
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1569
#22
1.20.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3289
#16
0.70.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
0.90.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2594
#19
0.50.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3243
#31
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End