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Red4
15660.9
32890.7
16962.1
Blue1
33740.9
5850.7
32410.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420681041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3374
#27
0.90.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
585
#25
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3289
#16
0.70.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3241
#29
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End