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Qual 152010 Virginia Regional
Red8
32740.9
9752.3
16764.5
Blue5
6190.6
10862.5
6141.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420681085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#1
4.50.3
2.7→3.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
1086
#14
2.50.2
1.0→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
975
#2
2.30.3
0.7→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
614
#13
1.10.2
0.8→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3274
#17
0.90.3
0.5→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
619
#61
0.60.2
0.5→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—