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Red3
16550.7
8090.3
11370.7
Blue0
5400.6
10950.4
20210.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22011233430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1137
#40
0.70.1
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2021
#53
0.70.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1655
#56
0.70.1
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
540
#51
0.60.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
809
#55
0.30.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1095
#31
0.40.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End