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Red5
21860.4
20280.5
2931.7
Blue2
23631.1
5400.6
33590.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#4
1.70.2
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2363
#21
1.10.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2028
#27
0.50.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
540
#51
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2186
#34
0.40.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3359
#46
0.10.2
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End