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Red0
26420.9
4050.8
32740.9
Blue1
30720.5
20280.5
3880.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012345601

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3274
#17
0.90.1
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2028
#27
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2642
#33
0.90.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
388
#49
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
405
#19
0.80.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3072
#28
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End