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Red10
31681.1
10862.5
26420.9
Blue0
15221.0
21860.4
12360.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130246810100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#14
2.50.7
1.32.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1522
#48
1.00.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3168
#30
1.10.7
0.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2186
#34
0.40.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2642
#33
0.90.7
0.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1236
#58
0.10.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End