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Red3
15221.0
4050.8
17312.0
Blue2
9770.3
3391.8
6201.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45024681032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#11
2.00.1
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
339
#5
1.80.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1522
#48
1.00.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
620
#16
1.60.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
405
#19
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
977
#60
0.30.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End