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Qual 802010 Virginia Regional
Red0
8090.3
21860.4
16100.9
Blue1
28900.7
32740.9
3079-0.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567801

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#26
0.90.2
0.8→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
3274
#17
0.90.1
1.1→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2186
#34
0.40.2
0.8→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
2890
#45
0.70.1
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
809
#55
0.30.2
0.6→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
3079
#63
-0.20.1
-0.1→-0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—