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Semifinal 1-22010 Virginia Regional
Red10
10862.5
14181.1
16764.5
Blue3
3391.8
1341.7
4350.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84051015103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#1
4.50.0
4.3→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
339
#5
1.80.0
1.9→1.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1086
#14
2.50.1
2.3→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
134
#7
1.70.0
1.7→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1418
#39
1.10.0
1.0→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
435
#18
0.90.0
1.0→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—