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Red5
29151.5
28981.4
9481.6
Blue7
25572.1
29900.4
4882.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44246857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#16
1.60.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
488
#3
2.30.0
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2557
#14
2.10.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2990
#49
0.40.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End