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Red5
4920.5
21470.8
32212.3
Blue6
3601.1
29761.1
15101.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33012456756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.0
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
360
#28
1.10.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#51
0.80.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1.10.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
492
#42
0.50.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1510
#52
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End