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Red3
29040.2
32131.1
21470.8
Blue0
32680.4
29300.6
29230.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3213
#13
1.10.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2930
#29
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#51
0.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3268
#40
0.40.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2904
#50
0.20.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2923
#59
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End