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Red0
25170.5
29270.3
29070.7
Blue3
29240.1
25572.1
29060.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456703

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#41
0.70.2
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2557
#14
2.10.1
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2517
#64
0.50.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2906
#30
0.50.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2927
#63
0.30.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2924
#53
0.10.1
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End