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Red1
29260.6
29900.4
12580.5
Blue2
30490.9
32200.5
32370.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012345612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#25
0.60.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
0.90.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1258
#43
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3237
#23
0.70.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2990
#49
0.40.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3220
#47
0.50.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End