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Red2
26600.6
29040.2
13590.2
Blue3
29070.7
30490.9
32231.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2660
#34
0.60.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3223
#10
1.30.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1359
#36
0.20.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
0.90.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2904
#50
0.20.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2907
#41
0.70.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End