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Qual 392010 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red1
21490.8
29250.4
21470.8
Blue3
32380.8
29260.6
29151.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2149
#54
0.80.0
0.5→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
2915
#4
1.50.1
1.2→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2147
#51
0.80.0
0.6→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
3238
#19
0.80.1
0.6→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2925
#45
0.40.0
0.3→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
2926
#25
0.60.1
0.4→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—