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Red3
29900.4
17780.5
32680.4
Blue4
25550.7
29280.4
29440.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101122334434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#58
0.50.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2555
#24
0.70.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2990
#49
0.40.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2928
#27
0.40.3
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3268
#40
0.40.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2944
#20
0.30.3
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End