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Red0
29030.5
32131.1
32180.5
Blue1
29040.2
32380.8
29420.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210134567801

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3213
#13
1.10.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3238
#19
0.80.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2903
#37
0.50.2
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2942
#44
0.70.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3218
#21
0.50.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2904
#50
0.20.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End