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Red1
29440.3
29900.4
26050.6
Blue2
25220.9
13181.1
21470.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12023456712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2605
#46
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.10.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2990
#49
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2522
#33
0.90.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2944
#20
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2147
#51
0.80.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End