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Red2
21470.8
29420.7
32200.5
Blue0
30490.9
29240.1
24120.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11024681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#51
0.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
0.90.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2942
#44
0.70.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2412
#56
0.20.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3220
#47
0.50.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2924
#53
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End